Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.016460 0.019158 0.022139 0.025672 0.029743 0.034284 0.039732
2025-12-14 0.011825 0.015142 0.019146 0.024325 0.030836 0.038739 0.049049
2025-12-21 0.009122 0.012691 0.017343 0.023830 0.032613 0.044065 0.060102
2025-12-28 0.007777 0.011632 0.017008 0.025004 0.036549 0.052554 0.076358
2026-01-04 0.006614 0.010561 0.016403 0.025615 0.039692 0.060295 0.092609
2026-01-11 0.005405 0.009168 0.015058 0.024852 0.040621 0.064867 0.104775
2026-01-18 0.004570 0.008194 0.014162 0.024580 0.042165 0.070439 0.119043
2026-01-25 0.003835 0.007245 0.013134 0.023895 0.042874 0.074680 0.131598
2026-02-01 0.003275 0.006498 0.012318 0.023415 0.043803 0.079308 0.145249
2026-02-08 0.002849 0.005921 0.011705 0.023179 0.045083 0.084613 0.160604
2026-02-15 0.002449 0.005321 0.010952 0.022558 0.045540 0.088453 0.173700
2026-02-22 0.002277 0.005153 0.011002 0.023480 0.049017 0.098185 0.198770
2026-03-01 0.002024 0.004777 0.010592 0.023451 0.050677 0.104772 0.218828
2026-03-08 0.001738 0.004281 0.009859 0.022642 0.050644 0.108049 0.232769
2026-03-15 0.001539 0.003945 0.009419 0.022397 0.051751 0.113736 0.252255
2026-03-22 0.001467 0.003903 0.009628 0.023622 0.056200 0.126840 0.288742
2026-03-29 0.001364 0.003762 0.009586 0.024262 0.059418 0.137676 0.321564
2026-04-05 0.001194 0.003421 0.009017 0.023569 0.059474 0.141588 0.339552
2026-04-12 0.001070 0.003180 0.008655 0.023326 0.060555 0.147904 0.363659
2026-04-19 0.000943 0.002905 0.008163 0.022682 0.060568 0.151748 0.382447
2026-04-26 0.000839 0.002680 0.007768 0.022229 0.060995 0.156603 0.404155
2026-05-03 0.000758 0.002503 0.007476 0.022007 0.061979 0.162895 0.430018
2026-05-10 0.000672 0.002297 0.007072 0.021417 0.061914 0.166578 0.449796